Presidential Polls 2012: New Results from Our Online Polls

Most of the national polls and a majority of the state polls show a comeback for Obama, and our very own polls show a similar trend.

In today's update, we have an additional poll to add to the mix, and quite a few more of our readers voted on the last poll we covered yesterday.

In our new poll, 31 percent of respondents think Romney will win the election, with a whopping 67 percent saying Obama will win.

That's the highest Obama margin of any poll we've had so far, even after accounting for the extra Obama votes that poured in to one of our older polls last night.

To update our vote table:

Oct. 10: Obama 54, Romney 43

Oct. 12: Romney 54, Obama 43

Oct. 13: Romney 50, Obama 47

Oct. 17: Obama 49, Romney 48

Oct. 18: Obama 60, Romney 38

Oct. 18(b): Obama 67, Romney 31

Arranged by candidate over time:

Obama: 54, 43, 47, 49, 60, 67

Romney: 43, 54, 50, 48, 38, 31

The first Oct. 18 poll shifted 4 points in Obama's direction last night, lining up with a change in sentiment we saw in the official polls.

Romney's support in the daily Gallup tracking poll dropped a point, though he is still up substantially. But the daily Rasmussen poll, which contains more post-debate data, showed a tie, as did the IBD/TIPP poll.

Our new poll swings even further in Obama's direction, with 67 percent of respondents saying Romney will lose the election, and only 31 percent saying he'll win.

The trend line continues as before, but where will Obama's support top out?

It's interesting to note that Obama's support drops off after the vice presidential debate, and doesn't recover until after the second presidential debate.

The national polls dropped off much earlier, though we don't have data that far back. But even if we assume our respondents skew heavily Democratic (which would account for Obama's high initial numbers), we would expect Obama's favorables to rise after the vice-presidential debate, not drop.

Perhaps our readers really don't like Joe Biden? Maybe they really like Paul Ryan's Time magazine workout tips?

Either way, we'll continue to update the numbers as we get more responses. Keep an eye out for shifts in the numbers after the final presidential debate on Monday.

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