Presidential Polls 2016: Ben Carson Takes a Small Lead Against Donald Trump's Numbers; Will GOP Debate Alter Results? Start Time & Tonight's Candidates List

By Sade Spence (staff@latinospost.com) | First Posted: Oct 28, 2015 05:08 PM EDT

Tags Politics, GOP debate, Republican presidential candidate polls

Looks like there is a new GOP front-runner, for now.

Ben Carson Leads

Ben Carson has passed up Trump in the most recent poll. This is the first time Trump has been in second place since July.

In a poll released by Real Clear Politics, the former Luxury realtor barely trails behind Ben Carson. In another poll released by The New York Times and CBS, Carson is found leading the GOP race just four points ahead of Trump, 26 to 22. Please note, the four-point lead lies in the survey's margin of error.

Rubio, Bush and Fiorina Trail Behind

The remaining candidates straggle behind Carson and Trump with single digit ratings. "Senator Marco Rubio of Florida received 8 percent while former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida and Carly Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard chief executive, are each the choice of 7 percent of Republican primary voters. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio each received support from 4 percent of those surveyed."

Washington Post makes clear that Carson is still not the winner due to the small lead.

They explain the very same poll taken last month placed Trump with a four-point lead, meaning he had an entire "eight-point swing."

Trump Supporters Firm

But all is not lost for Trump and his supporters. As the New York Times noted, the poll is not a clear indication of who will win. The Iowa Caucus is months away. In addition, another GOP debate will take place Wednesday night. Moreover, the Times finds their poll to reveal just how strong a fan base Donald Trump really has.

"A majority of Trump supporters, 55 percent, said their minds were made up. But 80 percent of Carson backers said it was too early to say for sure that they would eventually support him"

New York Times states the poll was conducted over the phone with 575 Republican primary voters. The margin of sampling error for this poll is plus or minus six percentage points for each candidate.