While the popular vote tally for tomorrow's election is still very much up in the air, The Electoral College count seems more predictable, and it doesn't look good for Republican challenger Mitt Romney if he can't win the crucial swing state of Ohio.
Let's walk through Romney's options.
If we give President Obama Ohio, he jumps to 219 electoral votes, 51 short of the 270 votes needed to win the election.
Romney currently stands at 191 electoral votes.
Polls show strong support for Romney in North Carolina, a state Obama won in 2008, turning it blue for the first time since 1976. Except for a brief period in September, Romney has had a strong lead in the state.
With North Carolina's 15 electoral votes added to his total, Romney has 206, 64 short of his goal.
Romney is also looking strong in Florida, though his support is a bit less secure than in North Carolina. Still. He is favored to win the state, and without it, there's no way for him to make it to 270.
With 29 electoral votes, Florida is the biggest pot left on the map, and with it, he surges to 235 votes, only 35 short of a win.
But now the low-hanging fruit is gone, and pickups for Romney are much more difficult to find.
Romney has polled well in Colorado lately, though the state is very much a tossup. However, early voting data gives Romney a slight edge over Obama.
Colorado's 9 votes leave Romney to 244 electoral votes, 26 shy of winning.
Romney also has a good chance of taking Virginia, though recent polls show Obama's support growing there. If he takes the state's 13 electoral votes, he hits 257, just 13 votes from victory.
But now the only states left on the map are Nevada, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.
Pennsylvania has polled consistently in favor of Obama since February, despite the insistence of some Republicans that the state is up for grabs.
Wisconsin and Michigan are similar Rust Belt states. Obama's auto-industry bailout is very popular there, and their economies are doing better than the national average.
Even though Wisconsin is Paul Ryan's home state and Romney's father was the governor of Michigan, polls over the last two months have shown constant Obama leads in those states.
That leaves Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire. Nevada and Iowa are worth 6 electoral votes each, while New Hampshire is worth 4.
That means Romney needs all three in order to break 270 votes. A 269-vote tie is technically possible if Romney takes Nevada and Iowa but not New Hampshire, but Obama has strong Latino support in Nevada, and a win for Romney is unlikely there.
Which means that winning all three states is even more unlikely, as is any victory for Romney without Ohio.
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